Jacopo Berrettini vs Andrew Paulson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve effectiveness for the past six months, Paulson's success rate is 42.45%, while Berrettini outperforms him at 47.46%. Could this offer insight into predicting the match outcome? Yes, as higher accuracy in this statistic correlates with potential victory.
• Evaluating their return game, Paulson captures 42.37% of points on opponent's second serves, whereas Berrettini seizes 47.93%. On first serve returns, Paulson wins 26.33% compared to Berrettini's 31.35%, seemingly favoring Berrettini for better performance present.
• Under pressure, notably saving breakpoints, Paulson has a 54.05% save rate while Berrettini boasts a greater 59.34%, reflecting his stronger resilience in pressure moments.
• When surveying overall match success over the past year, Paulson triumphs in 31.25% of his matches, contrasting with Berrettini's more robust 57.38% win record.
• Paulson excels most on hard courts (65% win ratio) compared to his clay court performance (60%), whereas Berrettini's clay court proficiency (57%) is superior, despite a poor showing on indoor hard courts (0%).
• On the tournament level, Paulson has secured victories in 35.71% of matches at Challenger/ITF events greater than $10K, while Berrettini shows stronger performance, winning 47.73% of similar level matches.
• With respect to opponent quality, Paulson's recent opposition averages a 405 rank, just slightly higher than Berrettini's average opponent rank of 426.69.
• In deciding sets, Paulson claims victory 50% of the time, but Berrettini leads with a 59% success rate, suggesting a tighter grip in critical match periods.
• Break point conversion reveals Paulson converts 34.38% of chances, closely trailing Berrettini's 35.45%—an essential figure for live betting and predicting game turns.

Editorial Prediction (September 2, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the performance statistics between Paulson and Berrettini, certain trends emerge that may forecast the winner of this upcoming match. Over recent months, Berrettini has demonstrated superiority in key metrics like second serve success and the ability to win on opponent's service games. These factors are crucial as they contribute significantly to match outcomes.

Berrettini's stronger breakpoint performance and resilience under pressure also highlight his potential advantage over Paulson. His overall match win rate further supports the likelihood of his victory. Paulson's strengths on hard surfaces and return ability ensure he remains a formidable competitor, yet the comparative analysis strongly favors Berrettini.

In summary, when all the data points are considered, it appears that Berrettini holds the upper hand and is most likely to triumph in their forthcoming encounter.